Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 11.787352 13.739736 15.865408 18.345226 21.152035 24.223550 27.832038
2025-11-23 8.103539 10.664169 13.742889 17.685989 22.567577 28.376022 35.769736
2025-11-30 6.496878 9.402628 13.174072 18.355217 25.204423 33.856342 45.504621
2025-12-07 5.435406 8.526868 12.804558 19.028692 27.701888 39.187082 55.337595
2025-12-14 4.360894 7.383898 11.824913 18.636885 28.591888 42.339329 62.423690
2025-12-21 3.516439 6.400897 10.882816 18.100086 29.112714 44.902510 68.763233
2025-12-28 3.158421 6.109601 10.914023 18.965020 31.686047 50.480651 79.651248
2026-01-04 2.819631 5.783068 10.826733 19.601583 33.923893 55.677094 90.273965
2026-01-11 2.438758 5.309801 10.420728 19.651680 35.209069 59.485072 99.019305
2026-01-18 2.117484 4.886754 10.034993 19.671176 36.409951 63.197269 107.790110
2026-01-25 1.785538 4.379194 9.422190 19.212037 36.745610 65.523996 114.490068
2026-02-01 1.534888 3.990694 8.973466 18.983209 37.426863 68.412697 122.199159
2026-02-08 1.286228 3.573665 8.442693 18.603226 37.918566 71.204059 130.246813
2026-02-15 1.037541 3.103368 7.738303 17.817317 37.629387 72.704145 136.355898
2026-02-22 0.942786 2.986124 7.759571 18.469274 40.056089 79.047467 151.009848
2026-03-01 0.860610 2.882180 7.792381 19.142427 42.569730 85.691069 166.539557
2026-03-08 0.722178 2.590331 7.348175 18.747922 42.953526 88.513022 175.531385
2026-03-15 0.598382 2.305063 6.868575 18.208246 42.980908 90.656435 183.404075
2026-03-22 0.561171 2.273267 7.009414 19.077596 45.959855 98.483466 201.939319
2026-03-29 0.516662 2.206736 7.050437 19.717402 48.502522 105.618412 219.548302
2026-04-05 0.453383 2.059398 6.853578 19.767753 49.785092 110.388421 232.994804
2026-04-12 0.397319 1.920292 6.655050 19.787348 50.994339 115.072415 246.494848
2026-04-19 0.333891 1.732278 6.283623 19.325870 51.087235 117.526506 255.848881